So as the Masters finishes, the race for a new jacket starts as the players head to Harbour Town, to compete for the RBC Heritage and that horrific tweed jacket!
Cam Young again disappointed us finishing 1 shot off a place and Fatrick Reed 2 shots off a nice return. A great test and 4 days great viewing was again spoiled by tournament fav and metronomic, clinical brilliance in the guise of Scheffler. He is becoming predictably better than the rest, at odds that were way too short to ever interest me, but he just seems to outstay the best and the rest, week in week out.
He heads a field of 69 this week, in a designated event that would be brilliant in it's own right, was it not for being the week after the greatest show. Again short odds of 4/1 and shorter are of no appeal, especially given his exploits last week, and the fact his Mrs is up stick and due to drop this month, he is no value for punters who want long term profit, but for big investing, long term losing fav backers he may be of interest.
It's been a season of muddling results, either rookies or Scheffler winning, and given another go or double the selections I still couldn't find a way to make profit early season given these freak results, but we do need to find more places as we are just about treading water, despite lean pickings for the year to date. I can't live on the previous 2 years forever now can i!!!????!!!
So 69 players head to Harbour Town links, South Carolina, with Matt Fitz defending his 2023 crown. With Scottie being so short he pushes other players out, and we need to make hay with this, the worm will turn.
A par 71 measuring 7213 yards from the tips, it's very much an iron player and ball strikers track this week, and like last week, approach play is the guide to the top performers. I am quite reticent to pick our first selection, given his propensity to not win from many winning positions, but last years 3rd placed PATRICK CANTLAY is much bigger odds this week and for me a bet to nothing. His record here is 3rd, 2nd, MC, 3rd, 7th, 3rd, he will go close, his approach play this season has been absolutely appalling for him (149th on tour) but there were signs of a marked improvement last week, and he went close at Riv (a 2nd shot course), so at 16/1 5 Places at 1/4 odds with Bet365 we are a confident 7 points e/w.
With their being very little wind this week I'm put off the Europeans, who need tougher conditions to thrive in these fields, so we head to 2nd choice and regular blog favourite WYNDHAM CLARK who is a mouth watering at 28/1 this week, and he could quite easily take this place apart. He has two midfield finishes here previously and despite my liking for Sahith again this week, Wyndham gets the nod, as for almost the same price I can't ignore him. We invest 5pts e/w on him at 28/1 7 Places with Hills.
The last pick this week was a toughie, Pavon, Poston, Davis, Bradley, Hadwin and Cole all stood out as value, but after last weeks showing I couldn't ignore JT POSTON. A truly exceptional putter on his day, JT has 3 top 10s this year. He finished T3 in 2022 and missed the cut last year on the button at 1 under par, but this season is proving to be strong in terms of it's start, and this 2 time PGA tour winner also has a great record here like Cantlay, with MC, 3rd, 6th, 8th in his 4 appearances here since turning pro. He has recently turned 30 and maturity and a better grasp of his game make him smashing value every week and this week we head in with 3pts e/w 7 places again with Hills at 60/1
I will endeavour to get the P&L done this week on previous tournaments so we can see where we sit currently.
Keep the faith, in the words of the Petrol attendant at the end of Terminator, there's a storm coming......
TEWT
